DF 67 — Tracking current and forecasting future land-use impacts of agricultural value chains
Discussion forum on Life Cycle Assessment
Friday, 03 November 2017, ETH Zürich, Alumni Pavillon
Materials from renewable feedstocks may cause significant environmental impacts due to
land use and land use change related to feedstock sourcing. Whilst these impacts are clearly
spatially-dependent, spatially-resolved impact assessment is often hampered by lack of data, and in some cases, methods or models. In addition, the location and impacts of production are likely to change in the future, e.g. due to the consequences of climate change and due to sourcing trends in a growing economy and considering geopolitical conditions.
This discussion forum will focus on 1) Methods that can be used to track the current locations of crop production systems in complex supply chains to support spatially resolved impact assessment and 2) Methods and tools to predict future locations of crops in the context of megatrends such as climate change and increasing demand for agricultural raw materials. 3) Advances of methods for spatially resolved consideration of environmental impacts of land use change will also be covered in this LCA forum.
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Final Programme
Download:
DF67-Programme_Land-use_impacts_of_agricultural_value_chains.pdf
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Time
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Title
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Speaker
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Affiliation
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| 8:30
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Registration, coffee & croissants
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| 9:00
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Welcome and introduction
“Framework for the assessment of renewables”
DF67-00_Introduction.pdf
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Sarah Sim
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Unilever, UK
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Session 1 -- Tracking and inventorizing (current) land use and land use change
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[Jens Lansche]
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Agroscope, Switzerland
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Methods that can be used to track the current locations of crop production systems in complex supply chains to support spatially resolved impact assessment.
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| 09:25
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Implementation of LUC in ecoinvent
DF67-01_Reinhard.pdf
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Juergen Reinhard
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Quantis, Switzerland
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| 09:50
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Using land use & land cover datasets to assess variability in estimates of land use change and associated GHG emissions in selected regions of Indonesia
DF67-02_VanBeijma.pdf
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Sybrand van Beijma
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Agrimetrics, UK
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| 10:15
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Quantifying land use impacts through Multi-Regional Input-Output tables
DF67-03_Moran.pdf
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Dan Moran
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NTNU, Norway
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| 10:40
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Transparency for Sustainable Economies (Trase) -- an innovative data-driven approach to mapping commodity supply chains: applications for sustainability assessments and LCA
DF67-04_Godar.pdf
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Javier Godar (skype)
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TRASE, Sweden
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| 11:05
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Discussion
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| 11:20
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Coffee break
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Session 2 -- Forecasting (future) land use and land use change
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[Henry King]
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Unilever, UK
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Methods and tools to predict future locations of crops in the context of megatrends such as climate change and increasing demand for agricultural raw materials.
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| 11:40
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Modeling land use for global biodiversity assessments: discrete allocation at 10 arc-seconds
DF67-05_Schipper.pdf
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Aafke Schipper
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PBL, The Netherlands
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| 12:05
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Interdisciplinary approaches – integrating social sciences, econometrics and geography to forecast spatial patterns of land use at local and global scales
DF67-06_Verburg.pdf
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Peter Verburg
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Free University, The Netherlands
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| 12:30
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Land use change projections – linking economic constraints and constraints of the physical environment
DF67-07_Leclere.pdf
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David Leclère
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IIASA, Austria
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| 12:55
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Discussion
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| 13:10
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Lunch
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Short presentations
(incl. 5 minutes of Q&A after the final presentation)
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[Sandra Marquardt]
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Radboud University, The Netherlands
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| 14:10
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Recent developments in indirect Land-Use Change (iLUC) modelling
DF67-08_DeRosa.pdf
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Michele De Rosa
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2.-0 LCA Consultants, Denmark
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| 14:20
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Variability of Greenhouse Gas Footprints of Crude Palm Oil production in Indonesia
DF67-09_Lam.pdf
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Wan Yee Lam
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Radboud University, The Netherlands
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| 14:30
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Incorporating FAO trade and production database to estimate supply chain location information for agricultural products
DF67-10_Liao.pdf
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Xun Liao
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EPFL/Quantis, Switzerland
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| 14:40
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New Land Use Change Guidance
DF67-11_Humbert.pdf
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Sebastien Humbert
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Quantis, Switzerland
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| 14:55
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Coffee break
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Session 3 -- Impacts
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[Mark Huijbregts]
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Radboud University, The Netherlands
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Advances of methods for spatially resolved consideration of environmental impacts of land use change.
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| 15:15
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Quantifying biodiversity impacts of land use change
DF67-12_Hellweg.pdf
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Stefanie Hellweg
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ETHZ, Switzerland
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| 15:30
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Assessing the global biodiversity impacts of land use
DF67-13_Newbold.pdf
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Tim Newbold
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UCL, UK
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| 15:55
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Life Cycle Assessment Needs Predictive Spatial Modelling for Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services
DF67-14_Hamel.pdf
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Perrine Hamel
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Natural Capital Project, US
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| 16:20
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Integrated modeling to assess land use change impacts on ecosystem service provision: prospects for LCIA
DF67-15_Rugani.pdf
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Benedetto Rugani
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Luxembourg Institute of Science and Technology, Luxembourg
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| 16:45
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Discussion
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Wrap-up, announcements and farewell
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| 17:00
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Wrap-up should synthesize the day’s topics focusing on:
• Application and incorporation of new methods into the LCA framework – methods and challenges (what are the bottlenecks)
• Uncertainties
• Usefulness in the business contexts (including issues surrounding methodological complexity (linked to higher accuracy) vs practicality)
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Sarah Sim
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Unilever, UK
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| 17:15
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Announcements and Farewell
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Stefanie Hellweg
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ETHZ, Switzerland
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